Table 4

HR estimates (95% CI) of the association between heart failure and HbA1c, based on the linear effect model (increase per 1% HbA1c) and categorised HbA1c variables

HbA1c variableIncrease per 1% HbA1cCategories of HbA1c
<6%7%–8%8%–9%9%–10%≥10%
Baseline1.06 (1.04 to 1.07)0.98 (0.88 to 1.09)1.16 (1.08 to 1.25)1.30 (1.19 to 1.41)1.26 (1.14 to 1.39)1.36 (1.26 to 1.46)
Latest1.06 (1.04 to 1.08)1.16 (1.07 to 1.25)1.06 (1.00 to 1.14)1.36 (1.24 to 1.49)1.30 (1.14 to 1.49)1.41 (1.24 to 1.60)
Updated mean1.15 (1.13 to 1.18)1.02 (0.92 to 1.15)1.21 (1.14 to 1.29)1.48 (1.36 to 1.60)1.64 (1.46 to 1.84)1.84 (1.60 to 2.13)
  • The reference value for the categorical HbA1c variables was 6 to <7%. All HR estimates were adjusted for sex, age, BMI, smoking, prior MI, prior stroke, blood pressure, use of medications (statins, β-blockers, ACEi, ARBs and ASA).

  • ACEi, ACE inhibitors; ARBs, angiotensin II receptor blockade; ASA, acetylsalicylic acid; HbA1c, haemoglobin A1C.