Table 2

Incidence of first subsequent major adverse outcomes (N=143 702)

Median time to outcome (years)CasesPerson-years*Incidence rate
(per 100 person-years)
Adjusted incidence rate ratio†
MACE (all)0.18 (0.03–1.59)91 706360025.18 (25.02–25.34)
 Men0.13 (0.02–1.04)55 087180031.03 (30.77–31.29)Reference
 Women0.31 (0.04–2.47)36 619190019.62 (19.42–19.82)0.58 (0.57–0.59)
Coronary heart disease (all)0.11 (0.02–0.81)66 543390016.87 (16.74–17.00)
 Men0.09 (0.02–0.58)43 238190022.29 (22.08–22.50)Reference
 Women0.17 (0.03–1.29)23 305200011.63 (11.48–11.78)0.52 (0.51–0.53)
Stroke (all)2.54 (0.63–5.83)574075000.77 (0.75–0.79)
 Men2.33 (0.52–5.56)254643000.60 (0.57–0.61)Reference
 Women2.75 (0.71–6.07)319432001.00 (0.97–1.04)1.22 (1.16–1.29)
Peripheral vascular disease (all)1.83 (0.35–4.88)162475000.22 (0.21–0.23)
 Men1.71 (0.35–4.68)90143000.21 (0.19–0.22)Reference
 Women1.95 (0.34–5.20)72332000.23 (0.21–0.24)0.88 (0.80–0.97)
Heart failure (all)0.95 (0.14–3.83)790574001.07 (1.05–1.09)
 Men0.73 (0.11–3.54)382343000.90 (0.87–0.93)Reference
 Women1.22 (0.19–4.11)408231001.30 (1.26–1.34)1.00 (0.96–1.05)
Cardiovascular mortality (all)0.20 (0.02–3.13)989476001.29 (1.27–1.32)
 Men0.21 (0.02–3.06)457944001.04 (1.02–1.08)Reference
 Women0.19 (0.02–3.22)531533001.63 (1.59–1.67)0.89 (0.85–0.93)
All-cause mortality (all)1.37 (0.08–5.07)29 50378003.77 (3.73–3.82)
 Men1.20 (0.07–4.78)13 66845003.07 (3.02–3.12)Reference
 Women1.54 (0.08–5.34)15 83534004.71 (4.63–4.78)0.92 (0.90–0.94)
  • *100 person-years at risk; all: both men and women; follow-up time: median follow-up time in years reported with IQR.

  • †Incident rate ratio adjusted for age (continuous variable) and Index of Multiple Deprivation (socioeconomic status).

  • MACE, major adverse cardiovascular events.